NWS tends to err a bit high most times, though occasionally they nail it. Arnold comes in 3 flavors -- wrong, very wrong and horribly wrong. View Comment
Just so we can compare & contrast with the above prediction, the NWS expects (as of Tuesday evening) the following snowfall totals:
Tonight -- "Total nighttime snow and sleet accumulation of around an inch possible."
Wednesday -- "New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible."
Wednesday night -- "Little or no snow accumulation expected."
Thursday -- "New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. "
Thursday night -- "New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible."
That's a NWS range of 2.2 inches to 3.5 inches . . . as opposed to Mr. Arnold's prediction of 3 - 5 inches (with the threat of even more for those folks on hills above 1,000 feet) View Comment
Gut, since you're fond of researching weather predictions, please tell us how many times Mr. Arnold under-estimated snow accumulation. I'm guessing it's never. And as for how many times he's been spot on, I'm guessing rarely.
My problem with Mr. Arnold is one that I have with most of the "major media" meteorologists. They're fear-mongers, over-estimating snowfall accumulation to rile up the populace in the hopes of gaining ratings -- or in the case of this site, page hits.
Leicester Daily Voice dropped Mr. Jubinville -- who actually lives in Leicester, and whose forecasts were usually spot-on -- for someone who lives in Shrewsbury . . . a half-hour drive away from Leicester and whose forecasts are usually wrong, very wrong, or horribly wrong.
I guess he's generating enough fear-driven hits to make him popular with the Daily Voice management.
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Arnold went from 9-14 inches earlier in the week to 6-8 inches a few hours before the storm. Judging by the inch or so I see on the ground this morning, he's only "not far off" if you accidentally mistake centimeters for inches.
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Nice of Mr. Arnold to dial back his wild predictions a few hours before things begin.
The NWS forecast for Worcester as of Saturday afternoon is 1-3 inches tonight, and 1-2 inches tomorrow. In layman's math, that's 2-5 inches overall.
Since Jim Arnold's predicting 6-8 inches for Worcester, we can all expect the snow to be closer to the 2 inches than the 5.
Please bring back Dick Jubinville and his trustworthy forecasts. View Comment
I don't know when the story was written, but NWS now (Thurs. morning) has no precipitation forecast for Friday or Friday night. 60% chance of snow Saturday. View Comment
Arnold's "4-8 inches" went to the Cape for the weekend. Its cousin "1-3 inches" is keeping central Mass. company in the meantime -- much closer to 1 than 3 this morning, despite Jim Arnold's wishful thinking.
More Jubinville, please. View Comment
There's now a 60% chance snow might happen Saturday night -- slightly better odds than a coin toss. The NWS doesn't even deign to mention accumulation of any sort. So my layman's translation is: 60% chance of a dusting. Shiver me timbers.
Jim Arnold's forecast of 4-8 inches of snow must be for someplace other than central Massachusetts. Which is a kinder assumption than acknowledging that he's about as accurate as the Boston TV meteorologists.
More Richard Jubinville, please. View Comment
The National Weather Service (http://www.weather.gov) predicts a fairly balmy week with little precipitation until Tuesday -- which is rain, not snow.
Why has the Daily Voice switched to Jim Arnold of Shrewsbury, whose predictions are rarely more accurate than the coin-toss methods of Boston TV meteorologists?
Richard Jubinville of Leicester, the previous backyard meteorologist used by Daily Voice, has/had a much better record of accuracy.
If it ain't broke, don't fix it -- and your "fix" done broke it.
More Jubinville, less Arnold . . . please. View Comment
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